On March 27, 2022, A Grand Theft Auto "insider" teased that the next installment to the popular action-adventure sandbox franchise is releasing in 2024. The tease was shared by Twitter user Matheusvictorbr, a well-known sharer of scoops related to Rockstar Games and the titles they're developing. The leaker has a mixed track record, so it's unclear how much credibility should be given to their scoops and teases.
The "insider" doesn't outright claim that GTA 6 is releasing in 2024, nor do they divulge a specific release date, but the speculation comes from a tweet that reads: "2024 vejo voces". If you're not fluent with Portuguese, "vejo voces" translates to "I see you", according to Google Translate. The tweet didn't specifically mention GTA 6 but it's clear what it's referring to.
Rockstar Games just officially announced GTA 6 earlier this year, and according to various sources, it's been in development for years, but the developer hasn't revealed much details about the highly-anticipated game. Could they launch GTA 6 two years from now?
The rumor aligns with what industry analyst Jeff Cohen and other claimed. In May 2020, VentureBeat reported that Take-Two's 10-K SEC filing from 2020 (which showed financial plans for the next give years) reveals that the company expects to spend $89 million on marketing between April 2023, and the end of March 2024, which, the report points out, is a huge spike.
According to Cohen, GTA 6 is the reason for this spike, as it's expected to release within this period. Cohen noted that previous marketing budgets have predicted the releases of other upcoming big games from Take-Two Interactive, including Red Dead Redemption. If this prediction is accurate, it's likely that GTA 6 will be released sometime between April 2023 and March 2024.
Tom Henderson, a leaker mainly known for his spot-on leaks on Call of Duty and Battlefield, posted a video sharing various GTA 6 details. In the video, Henderson predicts that Rockstar Games won't release the game until between 2024 and 2025, according to sources.
Henderson explained the reasons for this possible GTA 6 release window. The most important one is that apparently, Rockstar Games has been focusing seriously on "employee wellbeing", with the developer aiming to avoid crunch culture. According to Henderson, Rockstar didn't want to announce the game until it was confident that it will hit its release date, with the aim to prevent delays.
On June 27 2022, Tom Henderson said that the game is still expected to release in 2024-2025:
On June 22, XFire shared a huge rumor leak that reveals details about GTA 6's story, characters, setting, and release date, and accoridng to that rumor, the game has a target release date of 2024.
Did Rockstar already confirm GTA 6's release date?
At the time of this writing, Rockstar Games hasn't provided an official release date for GTA 6.
Recently, a new image hit online that was said to be leaked from an upcoming Take-Two Interactive financial presentation. This "leaked" document revealed the plans that Take-Two has for the next two years, and in doing so, claimed that GTA 6 would be coming out in the second half of 2024. While this leak apppeared to be legitimate at first glance, there are some issues with this rumor.
To begin with, this upcoming slate of release for Take-Two from FY2023 until FY2025 didn't include all of the publisher's currently announced games. Titles like the next Bioshock game and Marvel's Midnight Suns were nowhere to be found, while projects like Red Dead: Gunslinger and Mafia: Primordial are titles that Take-Two haven't announced at all, but they were listed in this leak.
For now, we will have to wait for an official confirmation of GTA 6's release date from Rockstar Games
GTA 6 may be coming sooner than expected
According to a rumor shared by insider Tez2, the game is only 12 to 18 months away from releasing, which would mean that it's launching sometime in 2023. The insider teased this information responding to rumors that GTA 6 was rebooted in 2020, which, if true, would mean the game is nowhere near complete. However, Tez2 claims that these rumors aren't true.
"In current times where you hear of Rockstar improving working conditions and trying to reduce crunch do you really think a reboot would happen when we are like a year or a year and a half from release," said Tez2.
When can we expect more GTA 6 updates?
On Oct. 14, 2022, journalist and founder. of Rockstar's community page @RStarCentral, Gaming Detective aka @that1detectiv3 shared a tweet, in which he speculated about GTA6's upcoming release date.
In the tweet, Game Detective wrote, “GTA 6 will be announced between October 21 and October 28.” speculating that Rockstar will announce the highly-anticipated game in the final week of October 2022.
However, note that this is just based on his speculation. At the time of this writing, Rockstar hasn't announced when they will share more details about GTA 6.